Author Archives: dafyddtownley

Teflon Trump?

For most in the American political sphere being revealed in the press as having views that could be categorised as racist and misogynist tends to destroy any hope of holding any political office, and rightly so. A prepared statement whilst flanked by wife/husband and children is usually the precursor to withdrawal from any race. Years in the political and publicity-barren wilderness are only usually ended by a cathartic appearance on Oprah or Ellen, where a warts-and-all confession is normally followed by a revelation about the charity or cause that they’re now fronting. Tears from guest, hugs from host, applause from audience, are the heralds of forgiveness from the American public. And so the cycle begins again.

Not so Donald Trump, even when his wife Melania issues a public statement condemning his behaviour. For those of us that have followed his political campaign with astonishment and shock over the last sixteen months, the latest release of his remarks about women in 2005 should really not surprise us. Trump in many ways has been a phenomenon in this election process, proving that political know-how, intelligence, taste, justice, good judgement are not prerequisites to be a serious candidate for the most powerful office in the world. The press speculation that Trump may resign is seriously wide of the mark, especially as Trump’s campaign has always been driven by egotism and narcissism. In fact it may well give his campaign the positive momentum it so desperately needs. During the nomination campaign Trump steamrollered the opposition. His campaign took over the written press, was constantly talked about on television, and was the talk of social media. The overlong nomination process allowed Trump’s campaign to build up such a head of steam that it was unstoppable. Bush, Cruz, Rubio, all fell by the wayside as the Trump machine marched on.

Like Carter in 1976 and Reagan in 1980, Trump is running not just in opposition to Hillary Clinton but as an outsider to the Washington elite. Trump’s attraction for many of his followers is that he is a challenge to the political establishment in the nation’s capitol. While the powerbrokers are interested in a conservative status quo being maintained, Trump is seen by many of his supporters as a salvation-like figure that will bring change. Quite how a billionaire – who inherited his wealth and was exposed as not paying taxes for over a decade – can be seen neither a member of the establishment nor a representative of the man in the street is overwhelming. The Republican Party leadership’s rejection of him during the nomination process only succeeded in improving his standing among the 76% of Americans that disapprove of Congress.

But the current desertion of GOP senators and lawmakers from Trump as a result of his lewd remarks could actually strengthen his original position as an outsider. GOP leadership support has actually stifled Trump’s claim to be not one of them. Trump has shown in both the nomination and presidential campaigns that he is a master at preaching to the choir but fails to convince the congregation. His presidential campaign has stumbled in comparison to that of his nomination campaign because of his inability to transfer his attraction to Democrat voters. The problem for Trump was that he had created an echo chamber for his political rhetoric – rhetoric that has rarely progressed past xenophobic, sexist, self-centred utterances. The initial surge in support has declined, and this is due to a meandering presidential campaign that has very little substance to any message.

What’s fortunate for Trump is that he is only in a single figure deficit behind Clinton. Had he been in a bigger deficit he may have found himself deselected by the Republican leadership. Under Rule 9’s ‘or otherwise’ clause on nominations the Republican National Committee could remove Trump from the party nomination. But doing so could damage the Republican brand in a more lasting way than Trump ever could. Removal of a man with almost 45% national support could lose the GOP essential support among the working class voters that it will desperately need in 2020. Furthermore Trump could still run despite deselection and hand Clinton the presidency by splitting the Republican vote. And finally, Trump could end up suing the GOP if they withdraw their support under a vaguely written clause.

The biggest indicator to Trump’s continuing role as a presidential candidate is tonight’s presidential debate. Trump has already suggested he will bring up allegations of Bill Clinton’s misdemeanours in the televised debate. If Trump ‘wins’ this debate then the GOP will in all likelihood continue to support his candidacy. If he fails miserably and he trails Clinton by 10 points or more, then the RNC could decide to promote Trump’s Vice President candidate Mike Pence as their presidential nominee although that would add further weight to Trump’s claims of an establishment-led undemocratic conspiracy. Whatever the outcome tonight’s debate should provide some fireworks.

Step Forward President Ryan

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Paul Ryan could be the next conservative President of the United States. Yes, you read it right. The man who could not win the Republican nomination for the Presidency in 2012 could be the next conservative President – in 2020. The result of the 2016 election is irrelevant, as Ryan will hold the key to the success and public portrayal of the next tenant of the White House. In an election where the US electorate particularly likes neither candidate, those who failed to get the Republican nomination should be looking to the next campaign in four years time.

Scenario One: Hillary Clinton wins the 2016 election. Ryan has the next four years as leader of the House to show that he is truly capable of excelling as a legislative leader. Already representatives of both Ryan and Clinton have met to discuss the possibility of working together. Ryan faces a difficult choice though: if he works with Clinton he could go the way of John Boehner. Alternatively if he stands against her he could go the way of Newt Gingrich and be seen as an obstruction of government.

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However if he unites the House Republicans to oppose the majority of Clinton’s bills and guides the House through a series of legislation, he puts the Republicans in a favourable light with the electorate. Alternatively Clinton uses the Executive veto to knock down most if not all of the House’s legislation and conservative Republicans depict her as an imperial tyrant. As a consequence the Ryan publicity machine goes into overdrive in 2019 and works its magic. Clinton is cast as a President in the pocket of Wall Street and big business (who isn’t nowadays) while Ryan portrays himself as being fair-minded, reasonable, and electable. He would appeal to the Democrats who despise Clinton more than Trump does.

Alternatively there’s Scenario Two: the coiffure-on-a-megaphone that is Donald Trump gets elected as President. To most Britons this would seem ridiculous but remember the Brexit result? Trump, even though he is currently doing a lot of backtracking, has a lot of support as a Washington outsider, promising to put people back to work, a strong foreign policy, and making America great again – just as Ronald Reagan did in 1980. But Trump has more fanciful ideas than the ‘Just Say No’ program that the Reagan Administration championed in the War on Drugs (drugs are still winning, by the way.)

Trump’s wall on the US-Mexican border, his ban on allowing Muslims into the United States (even the American citizens) are all just sound bites. For a start there is no way the Mexicans are going to pay the bill for a wall across their border, and quite frankly Congress, run by small-government Republicans will not pay for it. Secondly, the imposition of legislation that defies the Constitution such as that proposed by Trump is not unheard of. However Ryan has already shown he is prepared to stand up to Trump on most of his controversial issues. In fact Ryan could effectively act as an anchor on a possible Trump administration.

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Again the consequences of such actions are capable of putting Ryan in a very good light with the American voters. He would appeal to the conservatives and Republican leadership that are currently forced to support Trump. Furthermore he would gain support from the likes of the Republican establishment that have refused to endorse the Trump nomination. Ryan would be able to depict himself as a true conservative compared to Trump and successfully challenge the incumbent president for the party nomination. He would also appeal to moderate Democrats if he is able to characterise himself as a moderate to them. Whether the Democrats would be able to find a candidate able to beat him that could match him for his political experience is doubtful.

Only once in the history of US politics has the President been a former Speaker of the House, and it’s as far as back as 1845 when James K Polk took the office. That’s not to say that it is impossible and there have been more than a few glass ceilings broken recently in American politics. Whether Ryan has an eye on the race for 2020 or not – and suggestions are that he does – the next four years are likely to set him up nicely for the race for the White House.

 

The Dangers of Intelligence Agencies in a Democratic Nation: the Findings of the 1975 Church Committee

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Paper prepared for presentation at the

2016 History Department Postgraduate Colloqium of the University of Reading

Reading, England, June 9, 2016

In June 1974 the Francis Ford Coppola-directed film The Conversation starring Gene Hackman was released. The two-hour long film portrayed the breakdown of surveillance expert Harry Caul, played by Hackman, who is described in the promotional tagline as ‘an invader of privacy’. Caul believed the couple he is spying on will be murdered by mysterious forces, which in turn cause Caul to question his actions. The mental collapse of Caul as he struggled with his moral compass asked the movie-goer whether what Caul was seeing was the truth or not. But the message was clear: individuals and agencies had the ability to intrude into the private lives of citizens without their knowledge.

Roll forward fifteen months to September 1975. wSydney Pollack’s film Three Days of the Condor starring Robert Redford and Max von Sydow hits the big screen. Redford plays Joseph Turner, an academic CIA researcher who avoids being assassinated along with his colleagues in New York. Turner goes on the run after the CIA suspects him of being a rogue agent. To add to the feeling that there is no place to hide the majority of the action takes place in broad daylight USA, mostly New York. Turner’s struggle was depicted to reflect that of the average American citizen with the hidden power of government agencies.

In addition to being to be highly praised by critics and a good watch, both of these films are indicative of the paranoia and distrust surrounding government intelligence agencies of the period, especially during the year 1975, the year of intelligence; a year described by former director of the CIA Robert Gates as ‘the worst year in CIA history.’[1] It was a year that saw a presidential commission and two congressional enquiries investigate the activities of the US intelligence agencies, with particular reference to their domestic operations. It was a year that saw some of the darkest secrets of the intelligence community laid bare to the world. And it was a year that illustrated the potential dangers of unchecked hidden power within a democratic society.

This paper will focus on the findings and revelations of one of those congressional enquiries:  the US Senate Select Committee to study Governmental Operations with Respect to Intelligence Activities – mercifully shortened to the Church Committee after its chairman Senator Frank Church of Idaho. In comparison to the other two enquiries, the Church Committee was the most extensive and revealing. The Rockefeller Commission named after its chair Vice President Nelson Rockefeller, was deemed to be a presidential whitewash and an attempt to retain executive control of the intelligence community. The Pike Committee, the House of Representatives equivalent of the Church Committee, was excessively aggressive and had its final report quashed by the House. In comparison to the other enquiries the Church Committee was objective, thorough and put its findings in a final report measuring two volumes and five books. This paper, based on my research to date, will use the published Church Committee’s findings to illustrate the opportunities that were grasped by both the executive branch and the intelligence agencies to abuse their power during the Cold War. Furthermore, it will assist in understanding that such dangers are not restricted to a Cold War environment, but still exist and threaten the democratic principles of the United States and beyond today. Initially this paper will deal with the ‘why’ – why did the Church Committee come into existence? – Before the ‘what’ – what did it find in its investigation? What did it mean? What does it say to us today in the twenty first century?

The Church Committee was formed because of a combination of long term and immediate factors. The Watergate enquiries that had concluded the previous year had seen the distrust between Congress and the executive branch come to a head. The struggle for superiority between the two branches of government had not dispersed since President Richard Nixon’s resignation the previous year; furthermore Nixon’s pardon by his successor Gerald Ford had done nothing but exacerbate the situation.

Hersh Headline

New York Times, Dec 22, 1974

When Pulitzer-prize winning journalist Seymour Hersh’s article adorned the front page of the New York Times on December 22nd 1974 the White House moved quickly. The article claimed that the CIA had maintained surveillance on American anti-War protestors, an act that went against its 1947 founding charter. Ford ordered CIA Director William Colby to confirm or deny the allegations. To Ford’s horror Colby responded by presenting Ford with a 700 page document known as the ‘Family Jewels’ which detailed all of the legally-suspect activities the CIA had participated in its twenty seven year lifetime. Alarmed, Ford ordered a commission under the leadership of Vice President Nelson Rockefeller to investigate the claims of the Hersh article. The Commission’s objective was to not only ‘ascertain and evaluate any facts relating to activities conducted within the United States’[2]  but also to stop Congress from seizing the initiative in the enquiry and ‘to preserve the CIA.’[3] While the Commission found that the CIA had ‘engaged in some activities that should be criticized and not be allowed to happen again’ it failed utterly in deterring Congress.[4]

The Church Committee was voted into existence on 27th January 1975, a month after the Hersh article. Calls for an investigation were urged ‘to cleanse whatever abuses there have been in the past.’[5] Senate Majority Leader Mike Mansfield stated that the select committee would be neither a ‘witch hunt nor whitewash’ and that ‘there will be no wholesale dismantling of our intelligence community.’[6] Where the Rockefeller Commission was restricted to just domestic CIA operations the Church Committee’s remit was wider, encompassing all intelligence agency activities since the Second World War. The investigations built on the work of the Rockefeller Commission and unearthed a number of operations that had been unconstitutional and illegal, and intruded on the private lives of its citizens. It judged such operations as ‘degrading a free society.’[7] While the Rockefeller Commission focussed solely on the accusations Hersh had made in his New York Times article, the Church Committee identified that US citizens’ civil liberties had been encroached upon by the CIA, the FBI and NSA in the quest to secure national security.

The CIA operation that had been illustrated in Hersh’s article was Operation CHAOS. This operation was an attempt by the CIA to connect the dissident anti-War movement to foreign organisations. It had been ordered to do by President Lyndon Johnson in 1967. Johnson was unable to understand that the anti-Vietnam war protestors were executing the most basic of American rights – the right to protest against the government. Instead Johnson suspected communist influence from overseas and ordered the FBI to investigate as early as 1965. When the Bureau failed to find such a connection Johnson turned to the CIA. While this was not strictly illegal, the Agency’s retention of files on the US citizens it had placed under surveillance was in opposition to its statutory regulations. According to the 1947 National Security Act the Agency was to have ‘no police, subpoena, law-enforcement powers or internal security functions.’[8] Yet the Agency’s investigations into the anti-War movement were just that.

As well as its domestic activities the Committee was highly critical of the Agency’s involvement in assassination plots of various foreign leaders. While the Committee found that the Agency had not actually assassinated anyone it had been supportive of plots to assassinate or overthrow leaders such as Fidel Castro of Cuba, Patrice Lumumba of the Congo, Ngo Dinh Diem of the Republic of Vietnam, and Rafael Trujillo of the Dominican Republic. The Committee stated that such plots violated ‘moral precepts fundamental to our way of life.’[9] Such was the clamour of the public to learn about these plots that the Committee was forced to publish an interim report solely on the matter.

The FBI’s activities were even more nefarious. Under the directorship of J Edgar Hoover the Bureau mounted a campaign between 1956 and 1972 against various protest and political groups. This came under the banner of what the Bureau termed COINTELPRO – a portmanteau of Counter Intelligence Program. The illegal surveillance and at times politically motivated programs were aimed at a wide range of targets. The COINTELPROs were deliberately ambiguously named to enable the Bureau to encompass individuals and organisations under each program. Target groups that were labelled by the Bureau as The New Left included Students for a Democratic Society and other student and anti-Vietnam War groups; the Black Panther Party and the Southern Christian Leadership Conference (SCLC) were included in the program COINTELPRO Black Hate/Black Nationalism. Anyone that publicly opposed government policy became targets of the various COINTELPRO programs: White Hate, Puerto Rican Independence Party, Socialist Workers Party, and the Communist Party of the United States. It’s important to note that none of the groups or individuals targeted by COINTELPRO was ever investigated with prosecution in mind. In the FBI’s own words the information was intentionally gathered ‘to expose, disrupt, misdirect, discredit or otherwise neutralise.’[10]

The information gathered from COINTELPRO was often used to the political advantage of the four presidential administrations of its lifetime. It was information harnessed through illegal wiretaps, warrantless surveillance, and through a Bureau operating beyond its remit. The Kennedy brothers only publicly pledged their support for the civil rights movement after finding that Martin Luther King had no communist affiliation. This reassurance was gained after using information gathered from warrantless-wire taps authorised by Attorney General Robert Kennedy. Lyndon Johnson – Kennedy’s successor – paranoid and fearing a coup in favour of arch rival Bobby Kennedy, used the FBI to perform illegal surveillance on rival candidates at the 1964 National Democratic Convention in Atlantic City; firstly so that he could identify his rivals, and secondly to ensure that he would win the nomination.

The National Security Agency (NSA) at the time was considered so secret that its existence was only rumoured about. During the Church Committee’s investigations its acronymic title was jokingly referred to by investigators as the No Such Agency despite being founded in 1952. Two of the Agency’s programs were of concern to the Church Committee – Project Minaret and Project Shamrock. These two projects were programs that intercepted electronic and telegraphic communication between the United States and overseas. Project Shamrock ran from 1956 to 1975 while Project Minaret ran between 1967 and 1973. Shamrock enabled the Agency to copy every telegram between the US and overseas with the collusion of three communications companies who had been assured that their efforts were helping to maintain national security. The NSA had no such charter or guidelines such as the FBI and NSA and so was not restricted in its activities involving domestic intelligence gathering. According to the testimony of NSA Director General Lew Allen to the Church Committee, those Americans whose communications were intercepted were part of a watch list. This watch list consisted of individuals suspected of criminal activity by various law enforcement agencies such as the FBI or the Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs (BNDD), the forerunner of the Drug Enforcement Agency.

The Committee’s concerns were not with the data collected but with the process that the NSA had undertaken. At no point did the NSA seek or was given a warrant for the interceptions involving US citizens, which was a breach of their constitutional rights under the Fourth Amendment. At the time of the Church Committee the history of the Fourth Amendment was described as ‘the history of the American revolution and this nation’s quest for independence.’[11] Senator Church warned that the Agency’s technological ability meant that it ‘could be turned inward against our own people’ with little restriction.[12] The prescience of the Church Committee was uncanny: skip forward thirty eight years to 2013 and the revelations of former CIA and NSA employee Edward Snowden mirror that of the Church Committee. In place of the Project Shamrock there is the NSA’s PRISM, part of a global surveillance scheme. The Congress-approved PRISM program originated in the presidency of George W Bush and continues to this day. The NSA is authorized to access the electronic communications of US citizens for up seven days without the necessity of a warrant or referral to the courts. Barack Obama defended the program when it was revealed to the world through the Washington Post and Guardian newspapers. The President erroneously described PRISM as a ‘circumscribed, narrow system directed at us being able to protect our people. And all of it is done under the oversight of the courts.’ And, like his predecessors, described the surveillance undertaken solely ‘for legitimate national security purposes.’[13] As Chancellor Merkel discovered when it was revealed the NSA had collected data from her telephone calls, there are no such restrictions on the NSA acquiring intelligence on overseas targets.

The Church Committee believed that the dangers that accompanied the operation of intelligence agencies in a democratic society could be overcome. The danger is not the intelligence agencies themselves but the secrecy that surrounds them. In the words of one US Senator in 1975 ‘the very nature of these intelligence agencies is in direct contradiction to the concept of a free society.’[14] The Church Committee felt that the solution to the problems lay in robust congressional oversight of the intelligence community. Prior to the Committee’s investigations the intelligence community had been answerable to four different committees although rarely and usually with little enthusiasm. Congress had taken the opinion that the intelligence community was run by honourable men, and as far as Congress was concerned the less they knew the better. In the words of one politician ‘Congress didn’t know, nor did it want to know.’[15] But such a lack of vigilance had led to the abuse of the constitutional rights of US citizens by the US intelligence community, sometimes at the direction of the White House. Such an abuse was possible ‘primarily because the checks and balances of designed by the Framers of the Constitution to ensure accountability had not been applied.’[16]

In its summary the Church Committee recommended that the Senate create a Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (SSCI) to ensure that such opportunities never arose again. However, despite the SSCI being established in 1976, the Snowden revelations are evidence that the oversight has neither been robust nor effective. In addition to the Snowden revelations it emerged that the CIA, ‘encouraged by political leaders and the public to do whatever it could’ in the wake of the 9/11 attacks, adopted ‘a program of indefinite secret detention and the use of brutal interrogation techniques in violation of US law.’[17] Senator Dianne Feinstein, chairman of the SSCI 2009 to 2015, stated that such activities were evidence that the United States and the SSCI had allowed ‘grievous past mistakes to be repeated.’[18] Once again, Congress didn’t know, nor did it want to know.

Just like the 1970s film-makers, concerns of the intelligence community in the modern era are evident in twenty-first century movies. CIA torture in so-called black sites was depicted in Kathryn Bigelow’s 2012 feature film Zero Dark Thirty. The film which depicted the CIA’s hunt for Osama Bin Laden neither justifies nor condemns the torture apart from – strangely – its effect on the CIA agents. In addition this year’s release from erstwhile conspiracy theorist Oliver Stone entitled Snowden is sure to cast a critical eye on the US government’s treatment of the intelligence community whistleblower.

What is evident is the failure of Congress and the nation to learn from the Church Committee’s findings. The US media has given more airtime and paper space to the pseudo-celebrity status of Edward Snowden than to the crimes he has publicised. The press, Congress and the people all agree that there is a necessity for an intelligence service, but what needs to be established and vigorously enforced are the parameters in which they can operate within a democratic state. This requires the watchfulness of Congress and a vigilant citizenry willing to question its government. Failure to do could result in the liberties of the nation being encroached upon yet again, if they have not been already.


[1] Robert M Gates, From the Shadows, (New York: 1996) p60

[2] Commission on CIA Activities within the United States, Report to the President, (Washington: 1975), p271 [Afterwards cited as the Rockefeller Report]

[3] Memorandum of Conversation: Allegations of CIA Domestic Activities, , January 3rd, 1975, Gerald Ford Library.

[4] Rockefeller Report p10

[5] Senator John Pastore, Congressional Record, January 21, 1975, p840

[6] Congressional Record, January 21st 1975, p843

[7]  United States Senate, Select Committee to Study Governmental Operations with Respect to Intelligence Activities, Final Report together with additional, supplemental, and separate views, (S.Rpt. 94-755) [Hereafter referred to as Church Report] ‘Book II. Intelligence Activities and the Rights of Americans’ (Washington: April 26, 1976) p10

[8] 1947 National Security Act, Sec 102, (d), (3)

[9] United States Senate, Select Committee to Study Governmental Operations with Respect to Intelligence Activities, Interim Report, (S.Rpt. 94-465) [Hereafter referred to as Church Interim Report] ‘Alleged Assassination Plots Involving Foreign leaders’ (Washington: November 20, 1975) p257

[10] J Edgar Hoover, Memorandum to all FBI field offices, August 25, 1967 found in United States Senate, The Church Report, ‘Volume 6: The FBI’, p383

[11] Attorney General  Edward H Levi testimony to the Church Committee, November 6, 1975, Church Report, ‘Volume 5: The National Security Agency and Fourth Amendment Rights’, p71

[12] Church Report, ‘Volume 5: The National Security Agency and Fourth Amendment Rights’, p3

[13] Barack Obama: “The President’s News Conference with Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany in Berlin, Germany,” June 19, 2013.

[14] Senator Lowell P Weicker, Congressional Record, June 11, 1975, p18282

[15] Rep Michael Harrington quoted in Mary Russell, ‘New House Panel on CIA is Sought’, Washington Post, January 8, 1975, p2

[16] Church Report, ‘Book II. Intelligence Activities and the Rights of Americans’ p289

[17] Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, Committee Study of the Central Intelligence Agency’s Detention and Interrogation Program [Declassified Version], (Washington, 2014),p2

[18] Ibid. p4